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What about the Dollar???
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Alan Stepney
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Joined: 05 Nov 2004
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2004 10:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

To return to the topic, I see that the $ has made a small recovery and is now 1.91 to £1., back from the 1.95 it reached at the beginning of the week.

Even so, the trend is downwards, and it can be expected to fall in the New year. If the January US figures are bad, then it may drop a lot.
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Mike
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Joined: 07 Sep 2004
Posts: 4512
Location: Thailand

PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2004 10:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Alan Stepney wrote:
To return to the topic, I see that the $ has made a small recovery and is now 1.91 to £1., back from the 1.95 it reached at the beginning of the week.

Even so, the trend is downwards, and it can be expected to fall in the New year. If the January US figures are bad, then it may drop a lot.


They are saying the dollar will be weak for a long time
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Lius
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Joined: 12 Oct 2004
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2004 11:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

at least 4 years I suppose
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Alan Stepney
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2004 4:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

expat wrote:


They are saying the dollar will be weak for a long time


Unless the US Administration takes some really unpleasant steps, it will continue to drop, and might even go into free-fall.

Those steps would surely loose any Party votes, so it would have to be bu agreement with both partoes and that is unlikely until the situation gets too serious to ignore.

It could easily mean a recession far worse than that of the 1930's.
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Mike
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 23, 2004 4:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Alan Stepney wrote:
expat wrote:


They are saying the dollar will be weak for a long time


Unless the US Administration takes some really unpleasant steps, it will continue to drop, and might even go into free-fall.

Those steps would surely loose any Party votes, so it would have to be bu agreement with both partoes and that is unlikely until the situation gets too serious to ignore.

It could easily mean a recession far worse than that of the 1930's.


I suppose its about time for a depression. I think we're all out of wars for a while Very Happy
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Storekeeper
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Joined: 17 Sep 2004
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PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2005 10:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I just can't see the dollar going in to a total nose dive below say 35 baht to the dollar in the next 4 years. That is a threat to others in the free market system. Cheap American goods is not a good thing for other countries. I just believe it's a dangerous thing to view the deficit too critically...this works to the advantage of the US.
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Mike
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PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2005 10:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Storekeeper wrote:
I just can't see the dollar going in to a total nose dive below say 35 baht to the dollar in the next 4 years. That is a threat to others in the free market system. Cheap American goods is not a good thing for other countries. I just believe it's a dangerous thing to view the deficit too critically...this works to the advantage of the US.


Welcome back violent

I agree that the dollar to baht exchange wont change very much.
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